At the end of the film “Miss Congeniality,” the FBI agent
who has masqueraded as a Miss America contestant, admits she agrees with the
rote refrain of the others, saying, “I really do want world peace.”
Everybody says they “really do want world peace,” while knowing
it won’t happen.
For a long time, the best available substitute for world
peace was the Cold War. The atomic bomb
had imposed the possibility of “mutually assured destruction,” and that was
reality, not a pious hope.
So long as the United States and the Soviet Union could destroy
one another, they would back off from confrontations that could lead to the use
of nuclear weapons. Perhaps that did not
create a golden era with the sun shining all over the world, but it worked.
Not only did the two super powers stop short of directly
going to war, they also restrained other countries from actions that might drag
the two major players and the world into a war too horrible to imagine. The threat of nuclear war served as the
guarantor of world peace.
While some countries were relegated to the sidelines, many
others found themselves in the orbit of one super power or the other. Armed and financed by their patron, they had
little ability to act independently.
Then, the Cold War ended.
It looked like the United States was the only remaining super power as
it witnessed the breakup of countries, including the Soviet Union. Smaller countries would pose no threat to the
United States and presumably, they would be unable to unleash nuclear warfare.
The American peace would be an extension of the ability of
the United States, during World War II and even during the Cold War, to use its
undeniable military and economic power to impose its will on much of the world.
Why do Americans now feel a sense of weakness and inability
to control events? American power in the
world seems to have dissolved.
In a highly partisan political climate, it is easy to blame
President Obama. His personal style,
soft-spoken and sometimes hesitant, seems to favor limits on American action
and invite others to disturb the peace.
Sen. John McCain, the Arizona Republican who lost to Obama
in 2008, almost never misses the chance to propose militant reactions to world events
and to criticize the president for not taking his advice.
Even if you might want more assertiveness from Obama and
less from McCain, that may miss the point.
It’s possible there are no more super powers, a fact that
may be difficult for Americans to accept.
Since the beginning of the Twentieth Century, Americans had grown use to
calling the shots, but now frustration has replaced self-confidence.
Look at the Ukraine, Syria, and Israel-Hamas. War rages in all three areas, and the United
States seems unable to do anything about these conflicts except to propose
cease-fires, which turns out to be a bit like saying, “I really do want world
peace.”
The Ukraine is torn between Russia, its historic boss, and
Western Europe, which offers an opportunity for prosperity. Because the economies of Russia and Western
Europe are intertwined, Western Europe took quite a while to agree with the
U.S. that Russia should suffer from real sanctions. Finally, the downing of the Malaysian plane got
it to act.
In Syria, torn by war, the Russians like the current regime
and the Americans don’t. Without a real
alternative, the U.S. cannot force a resolution.
And the conflict in Syria has deprived Hamas, which controls
Gaza, of the backing essential to maintain its conflict with Israel. It is now engaged in a last-ditch, almost
suicidal, effort, and Israel responded by going to war in hopes of finishing
off Hamas. The U.S. cannot even achieve a
ceasefire.
None of this is particularly healthy, and it is a poor
substitute for peace.
So long as nobody is shooting at Americans, which could
become a possibility in the next couple of years after the troops leave
Afghanistan, why should all this matter to us?
The political partisan divide reflects an underlying sense
of unhappiness in the country. And that
results partly from a recognition that the U.S. role in the world, as the
dominant power, has eroded and perhaps been lost.
Recognizing the world has changed, leaders on both sides of
the aisle could seek a new definition of America’s role. The goal would be to develop a consistent
policy, attuned to the 21st Century and aimed at restoring American
self-confidence in world affairs.