This year’s elections could produce a Democratic president and
Congress with one house or both controlled by the Republicans.
Many voters say that’s just what they want. They believe that divided government prevents
excess and promotes compromise.
But they have a good chance of being disappointed – again. Here’s why.
On the night in January 2009 of Barack Obama’s first inaugural
as president, Republican congressional leaders met and decided to maintain
wall-to-wall opposition to anything he proposed. They wanted to make sure his presidency would
fail and he would not be reelected.
A couple of years into Obama’s first term, Senate GOP leader
Mitch McConnell said, “The single most
important thing we want to achieve is for President Obama to be a one-term
president.”
But he left Obama an
out. If the president would do a “backflip,”
accepting Republican policies, they would work with him. Of course, there would be no backflip by the
GOP.
Obama got some of
what he wanted – like the Affordable Care Act – without a single Republican vote. Some of the responsibility was his, when he failed
to master the congressional relations game.
Obama was reelected
and continued to face GOP opposition.
That’s probably why he resorted to the extensive use of executive orders
on major issues. The Republicans attack
his use of these orders, but allow him to act on his own rather than compromise
with him.
Now comes Hillary
Clinton, probably the next Democratic president. It seems highly unlikely that she will be
able to do any better than Obama.
She promises to seek
compromises with Republicans, but they would have to be willing to deal with
her. Even if she were to back off some
of her campaign positions, they are so committed to opposition that deals could
be impossible.
To be sure, Clinton
has faults and must continue to work on being more open. She gives the impression that she thinks
she’s better than the rest of us, not a recipe for success.
But she has been
demonized to such an extent that many voters dismiss and distrust her. That attitude would undoubtedly support a GOP
attempt to block any of her policy initiatives or nominees to the courts or
regulatory agencies.
The concept of
bipartisan government makes sense, so long as both sides are willing to seek
compromise. A president proposes, but
should accept some of the ideas of the opposition to arrive at a broadly
acceptable policy.
That takes political
courage. Members of Congress and even
the president must be willing to take heat from some of their own supporters to
bring about compromises on major issues.
If the partisan
divide among the voters is truly deep, as seems to be the case now, the degree
of political courage needed is high.
Exercising that kind of commitment to public policy, instead of clinging
to partisanship, is what constitutes leadership.
But the American
system seems to have reached a point where policy differences are equated with
moral differences. Your opponent is not
merely “wrong,” he or she is “bad.”
The presidential
campaign illustrates that point. Many
Clinton supporters think Donald Trump, the GOP candidate, is morally
bankrupt. Many Trump supporters think
Clinton is criminal. That’s not the path
to compromise.
Perhaps it’s an
argument for one-party government, not divided control between the two major
parties. Though many people want
government to work through compromise, the U.S. government seems to be beyond
the point where that’s possible. (In
passing, it’s worth noting that the Maine Legislature is much better at
striking compromises.)
Given the big
picture of national partisanship, a voter in federal elections should recognize
he or she is not choosing between candidates so much as between parties.
Perhaps the most important
action by a senator or member of Congress is who they support to control the
Senate or House. That single vote is far
more important than their vote on any issue.
In the obvious
absence of the chance for compromise, it’s possible that the only hope for the
end of the federal government deadlock is single party government.
Thanks to Clinton’s
big lead and her political “coattails,” the Democrats have a reasonable chance
of taking control of the Senate and a slim chance of achieving a House of
Representatives majority.
Few voters may have
this big picture. For example, in
Maine’s Second District, the issues are not about economic or social
policy. That election, like many others
across the country, boils down to which party will control the House –Emily
Cain’s Democrats or Bruce Poliquin’s Republicans.
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