The
process for selecting presidential candidates is under attack.
Politicians ranging from liberal Democrats to Trump Republicans don’t
like it.
Some
candidates, unfamiliar with party rules, have felt the process put
them at a disadvantage.
The
Republican and Democratic parties are not government organizations,
and, under national party guidelines, each state party is free to set
its own candidate selection rules. Traditionally, they have only
allowed the party’s registered voters to participate.
Some
“open” state primaries allow participation by voters not
previously registered as party members. While state caucuses are
open only to registered members, increasingly registration may take
place shortly before the caucus or primary.
Bernie
Sanders or Donald Trump, candidates running as “outsiders,” can
find these rules make their races more difficult. Sanders, who had
previously run for Congress as an independent, likes states allowing
“open” selection of the Democratic candidate by non-Democrats.
Sanders’
supporters dislike the Democrats’ “superdelegates,” who don’t
go through the election process and have a vote of their own at the
national convention. They are awarded this right as government
officials or party leaders.
The
Democrats distribute convention delegates proportionately to the
actual vote in a state. That lengthens the selection process, but it
allows an important role for later voting states and, possibly, a
more thoughtful course to the nomination.
Maine
Democrats are leading the charge nationally to require a state’s
superdelegates to vote in the same proportion as the primary or
caucus participants voted. In other words, they still would get a
seat at the convention thanks to their office, but lose their right
to independent judgment.
If
that rule were in effect this year, by last weekend, Sanders would
have had 46 percent of the delegates instead of 40 percent, likely
not enough to make a difference in the ultimate outcome.
Why
do Democrats use superdelegates? Because voters in primaries or
caucuses may not be representative of the party as a whole. Party
officeholders, whose reelection may depend on who’s at the top of
the ticket, are given special status.
Otherwise,
something like the current problem in Britain may occur. There,
newly registered Labor Party voters recently picked the party’s
leader in Parliament, but he has only a handful of supporters among
the members he is supposed to lead.
Superdelegates
are a brake on the possibility of a takeover by an ideological
minority or voters with little interest in the party. In that way,
the superdelegates are meant to play, to a limited extent, a role
reminiscent of the now extinct party bosses.
Clinton
lined up broad superdelegate support early. Only an insurgent
Sanders dared challenge her, gaining surprising success, which has
encouraged him to step up his attacks on Clinton, even if that helps
Trump.
Contrast
this process with the Republicans. They have almost no
superdelegates, allowing more power to enthusiastic newcomers, like
the Trump supporters. Under GOP rules, states may distribute
delegates on a winner-take-all basis, somewhat proportionately or
some of each.
Trump
has claimed at times that the GOP process is “rigged” or
“crooked.” He believed that winner-take-all rules and the use of
caucuses rather than primaries were designed to harm his candidacy.
Not only were those charges untrue, in the end they didn’t matter.
If
the GOP had superdelegates who lined up early behind a single
candidate, as Democrats did for Hillary Clinton, they might have
blocked Trump. Instead, 17 candidates split the party’s vote in
the early going. Democrats might take heed of the GOP experience
without superdelegates.
If,
say, Jeb Bush had proved to be an attractive candidate with broad
support from the outset, the result might have been different. In
early contests, Trump managed to look like a big winner while
capturing only slightly more than 20 percent of the vote in the huge
field.
The
problem now is probably less the process than the candidates. The
parties seem to be having buyer’s remorse about their likely picks,
and some voters probably believe that a different process would have
produced a different result.
The
Republican attitude toward Trump, at least at the moment, is mostly
unenthusiastic or bewildered. Trump won as the clear alternative to
a crowd of candidates, not because the GOP strongly favored him.
The
beneficiary of broad backing, Clinton probably could recover party
support more easily than the highly controversial Trump if she
reveals a more honest and even contrite side. If she cannot deal
better with her delay in turning over official emails from her home
computer, she could remain vulnerable, losing her edge on Trump.
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