“Go
it alone” is becoming the political policy of our times. It can be
dangerous and costly.
The
best known case is the decision of the United Kingdom to quit the
EU, a move known as Brexit. A majority of UK referendum voters
decided that their country could achieve to its former glory as a
world power while ridding itself of immigrants the EU deal forced it
to accept.
The
Brits were promised they would get almost all of the EU benefits
without the cost of membership or the immigrants. In fact, the EU
savings would cover needed improvements to the national health
program. And the UK was such a valuable trading partner, it would be
able to dominate the exit negotiations with the EU.
While
the UK government opposed Brexit and knew those promises couldn't be
kept, it campaigned poorly, and Brexit carried the day.
Things
are not quite working out as promised. Britain will have to pay tens
of billions to leave. The EU won't give it nearly as good a trade
deal as the EU insiders. There are big problems with Ireland, which
remains in the EU and currently, as part of the Irish peace deal, has
no trade border with Britain.
The
UK's principal port is actually Rotterdam in the Netherlands.
Workers are leaving the UK and now there's a nurse shortage there.
Major international banks are moving out. “Go it alone” looks
less rosy, but nobody yet has stepped up to try to reverse Brexit.
Brexit
looks like a bad mistake for the Brits. The U.S. would never adopt
“go it alone” like that.
Except
that President Trump has done it many times over. You might call the
policy “ExitUS,” which sounds like “exodus.”
Because
of his misguided and partial understanding of the Paris environment
agreement, he has made the US the only country in the world to quit
it and remain outside. If there's an international agreement that
every country can accept, it probably isn't all that tough. But the
US is out.
What
about the NAFTA agreement with Canada and Mexico? The US has
received a bad deal, Trump says, and that settles the matter. He
refuses to acknowledge that the US runs a positive trade balance with
Canada and insists there's a deficit. When Canadian Prime Minister
Trudeau corrected him, he implied Trudeau shaded the truth.
At
the NATO summit meeting, Trump had difficulty convincing others that
the US would keep its mutual defense commitments. He topped that off
by rudely pushing aside, without the slightest acknowledgment, the
Prime Minister of Montenegro.
International
relations are complicated and interconnected. Harm me now, a country
can say, but don't expect my help later.
The
US was desperate for support at the UN opposing a resolution against
the decision to move the American embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
Out of almost 200 votes, it received 9, from small, dependent
countries. The US did not get the votes of Canada and Montenegro.
Under
Gov. Paul LePage, who some see as Maine's mini-Trump, “go it alone”
has also been a central policy with negative results.
Statoil,
a Norwegian energy company, sought to build a major wind farm off the
coast of Maine. According to the Forbes survey, Statoil annually
ranks high among the largest 500 corporations in the world. It
received the necessary approvals and, according to knowledgeable
people, was in line to get major federal support.
LePage,
engaging in a bit of legislative blackmail, got the Legislature to
reopen the process so the state could switch from Statoil to backing
a University of Maine project. This is pure “go it alone” with
the usual adder of patriotic boosterism.
It
didn't work. UMO did not get the big federal grant. Statoil decamped
for the UK, where it built a large fleet of floating wind generators,
the first such major commercial generation. That could have been
Maine.
What
is most important is that “open for business” Maine pulled the
rug on one of the largest corporations in the world. How many other
such outfits are likely to consider Maine in the future? The LePage
switch probably will cost for decades.
It
would be fair to ask candidates for governor this year how they voted
or would have voted on the Statoil switch.
“Go
it alone” may make people feel better, but it can produce
dangerous and long-term results. Acting in isolation may have been
possible in simpler times, but it is not a workable solution in
today's more complex and interconnected world.
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