Did
you see the national Christmas tree lighting? No, not the gift-free
ceremony on the White House lawn.
The
real Christmas tree is a bill enacted by Congress last Friday and
promptly signed by the president. There were gifts for almost
everyone under that tree.
Most
of the almost $1.8 trillion pays for the entire federal government
for a year. About a third of it cuts taxes for many, from racehorse
owners to retirees.
Who
paid for all these gifts? Partly, current taxpayers. But much of
the deal depends on what is likely to be hundreds of billions of new
debt, a gift from our grandchildren who must later pay the bill.
The
tax piece is entitled, “Protecting Americans From Tax Hikes.”
The “Americans” involved do not include children.
Congress
knew what it was doing. Though it had pledged never to increase
spending without finding the offsetting revenues, it simply overcame
this so-called “Paygo” by passing the “Motion to Waive All
Applicable Budgetary Discipline.”
Also
broken was an agreement to fund defense and non-defense programs
equally. More money appears to go to the military than to civilian
activities.
The
gifts in the deal were the reason why the legislation passed. To get
enough Republicans to support the bill, many had to be granted
funding for their constituents or campaign backers. The New York
Times reported that Sen. Susan Collins got $1 billion for a destroyer
not requested by the Defense Department. It's likely to be built at
BIW.
House
Speaker Paul Ryan seemed to do much better than John Boehner, his
predecessor, but he didn’t. He still lost the votes of many GOP
representatives. He gained passage only because they did not
entirely block the legislative process as they might have. Ryan got
to enjoy his congressional honeymoon.
It
is unlikely that many senators or representatives even read the 2009
page bill they passed. Still, the pages were double-spaced with wide
margins and big type. The complex bill was literally only a day’s
work for most in Congress.
Instead
of there being a separate bill for each agency of government that
could have been carefully reviewed, all of the government was piled
into a single bill. While that eliminates detailed review, it
allowed narrow provisions that may only be understood months later.
And it’s no way to cut spending.
Throughout
the document, so-called “riders” were used to do a lot more than
the bill might have seemed to cover. For example, the ban on
exporting U.S. oil was lifted and some of Affordable Care Act funding
was dropped.
The
president’s victories were highlighted as being no defunding of
Planned Parenthood and no ban on Syrian refugees.
In
reality, President Obama won a major victory . To get out of the
recession, he had wanted more government stimulus to push job
creation. But, after one round, Congress refused him any more.
That
left everything to the Federal Reserve. The only thing it could do
was lower interest costs, promoting borrowing for investment and
pumping more money into the economy. The Fed’s policy worked, but
far more slowly than if there had also been a tax and spending
element of the federal effort.
Early
last week, the Fed decided that its low interest policy had done just
about all the good it could and that it was now time to begin raising
interest rates. Some investment leaders worried that it was moving
too soon and the economy still needed help.
Though
providing such help through increasing spending and reducing taxes
had been opposed by many congressional Republicans, that’s just
what a majority of them agreed to do in the Christmas tree
legislation.
Without
even a backward glance at their previous opposition, the GOP gave
Obama just what he had wanted: increased debt financed government
spending that would permit business and industry to hire more people
and pay them more. Getting the effect may take time, perhaps
allowing the next president to take the credit.
The
Fed may now get the small amount of inflation it says is good for the
economy, thanks to the Christmas tree bill. If that doesn’t boost
the stock market, making investors happy, it’s reasonable to wonder
what would.
The
media generally congratulated Congress and the president for their
display of bipartisanship just when most people were frustrated with
partisan gridlock. When Washington powers agreed to act generously
in the spirit of Christmas, it turned out to be easy.
Happy
holiday. Some of your best gifts may not be the ones found under
your tree.
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