Last week
perhaps the biggest policy war in the country was quietly settled with the
outright defeat of one side – the Democrats.
Despite
President Obama, their standard-bearer, and their apparent control of the
Senate, the Democrats lost their struggle with the Republicans over whether to
reduce the deficit by spending cuts or higher taxes on the wealthy.
They lost
quietly and without complaint.
The two
parties have long been unable to find a compromise on how to cut an additional
trillion dollars or more from federal spending over the next ten years.
In an effort
to force the parties to make a deal, Congress agreed to the sequester, a cut in
federal spending that would affect all programs to the same degree. Obama and Congress thought that the prospect
of such reductions, affecting everything from defense to food kitchens, would
be so unacceptable that an agreement would have to be reached.
Wrong. The parties did not agree, and on March 1,
the across-the-board cuts went into effect.
Obama and the
media waited for the public outcry. It
never came, probably because this year’s sequestration cuts of $85 billion were
not large enough to hurt.
But then, one
of the reductions did hurt. When some
air traffic controllers had to be furloughed, flights were delayed. Travelers were unhappy, and the media displayed
pictures of disgruntled crowds at airline terminals.
Then, the
Republicans saw their opportunity. In
the House of Representatives, they easily passed a bill allowing the head of
the Federal Aviation Administration to shift funds from some agency services to
air traffic control, ending the plan for equal reductions for all functions.
Senate
Democrats, eager to avoid any blame for travelers’ delays, went along without a
single negative vote. So did Obama.
The result
was that the GOP achieved a cut in spending, while avoiding some of its
unpleasant consequences. That almost
certainly means that for this fiscal year at least, no serious attempt will be
made to end the sequester and come up with a compromise.
GOP
Sen. Susan Collins hailed the deal as a triumph of bipartisanship, when it really
was a straight GOP victory.
The
Republicans are likely now to be in a position to force spending cuts without
giving ground on tax increases. As a
result, the deficit may be somewhat reduced, though not enough, and public
services will have to be scaled back.
The GOP
policy of maintaining as much of the Bush tax cuts as possible and repealing as
much as possible of the social welfare programs sponsored by Democrats seems to
be working.
It was
probably not by chance that the trigger for the GOP to modify the sequester was
air traffic control, which mostly affects middle- and upper-income people and not
cuts to welfare or other low-income programs.
The Republicans
have masterfully employed their control of the House and their almost constant
use of the filibuster in the Senate to set national policy.
Contending
with the GOP, a party widely thought to have been rebuked by the voters in the
2012 elections, Obama and Harry Reid, the Democrats’ Senate leader, have given
ground.
They have
been faced by Republicans, who ignore polling data showing they are held in low
repute by the electorate and show remarkable determination and discipline in
pushing their policies.
In contrast,
the Democrats seem to like holding office more than using their control to take
some political risks to achieve gains for their policies.
In a
television interview last week, a top Reid aide, when asked about what makes a
politician successful, answered: “Getting re-elected.” Absent was any sense that accomplishing
something for the country while in office was a sign of success.
Europe, which
adopted austerity as the way of overcoming recession, is beginning to realize that
slashing spending imposes too heavy a penalty on people and that some
government spending is needed to stimulate the economy. The United States is moving in the opposite
direction.
Reducing
taxes has not yet stimulated more business investment that in turn would create
more jobs, as the GOP maintains.
While what
government can do is limited, because of the size of the deficit, its spending cutbacks
have slowed recovery, at least according to most economic commentators. Government’s historic role in pushing growth
has been ignored.
Voters may be
impatient with both parties for their failure to find workable compromises that
would, over time at least, both reduce the deficit and provide some stimulus to
the economy.
But why should
the GOP compromise when it’s winning?
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