After former
Sen. George Mitchell ended his role as Middle East mediator, he told a Maine
audience the failure of Israel and the Palestinians to sign a peace agreement
was yielding increasingly negative prospects for both of them.
The
Palestinians were losing territory, he said, and Israel was losing friends.
In 1947, the
United Nations had proposed to divide Palestine between Israel and the
Palestinians. The partition would have had
the divided territory of both new countries meet at a single point on the map. Neither would have to cross over the
territory of the other.
The founders
of Israel accepted the proposal, but the Palestinians and surrounding Arab
countries rejected it, believing they could take over all of Palestine by
military force.
A few months
later, Israel, supported by the United States, the Soviet Union and others, won
the war. Its territory was larger than the
U.N. had proposed.
Some
Palestinians could not accept the existence of Israel and resorted to terrorist
acts in hopes of wiping it off the map.
As their acts became extreme, Israel responded with increasing force.
Successive
Arab attacks on Israel led to successive setbacks. More territory came under Israeli
control. It began building settlements
in territory it had gained so that, even if a Palestinian state came into
existence, Israel would be able to dominate it.
If the
failure of some Palestinians to accept Israel caused their territory to shrink,
Israel found that its settlements policy, punishing the Palestinians and making
it more difficult for them to accept an imposed peace, began reducing its
support in world opinion.
The only
reliable friend of Israel turned out to be the United States. But even American policy questioned the
continued creation of settlements in the territory of the would-be Palestine.
Mitchell’s
analysis and forecast turned out to be the most succinct and accurate view of
the Middle East situation. By leaving
his role as mediator in 2011, he seemed to say that the situation had no chance
of improving in the reasonably near future.
Not only did
the settlements complicate the outlook, but so does a divided Palestine. In the land between Israel and Jordan, the
Palestinian Authority, led by President Mahmoud Abbas and his Fatah Party,
control. In Gaza, a separate area along
the Mediterranean near Egypt, the terrorist Hamas Party is in charge.
In Israel,
Arab terrorist attacks have abated, thanks partly to Abbas. Prosperity has grown and people have
increasingly focused on their own lives and less on making a deal with the
Palestinians. The prospects for peace have
become more remote, and settlement building continues.
Recently,
Hamas has lost support from war-torn Syria.
And the Egyptian military government has cut off many of its sources of
supply.
Last week,
Fatah and Hamas announced they would form a unified government and then hold
elections. Abbas issued a statement
strongly condemning the Holocaust, which had cost the lives of six million Jews
and had stimulated the creation of Israel.
Both events
seemed like possible good news. Both
were rejected by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The United States stepped back in its efforts
to promote a peace agreement.
Have the
Palestinians reached the conclusion that continued hostility toward one another
only causes them literally to lose ground?
If they succeed within the next few weeks to create a unified
government, they can change the negotiating equation.
Netanyahu is
undoubtedly correct that you cannot negotiate with someone whose objective is
your disappearance. But, if Hamas, as
part of a unified Palestinian government, accepted the existence of Israel, he
could claim a degree of victory. If he
would then continue to reject dealing with the Palestinian Authority, Israel
could face even more isolation.
With problems
in Iran, Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq pressing, the American focus on Israel and
the Palestinians may be receding. Political
candidates may keep up their strong support of Israel, but the practical effect
may be less.
Of course, a
mere willingness to negotiate, should that happen, does not ensure
success. Terrorism from Palestinian
territories must be controlled, while Palestine should gain all the attributes
of a sovereign country. Israeli long-term
security, its settlements, and the status of Jerusalem would have to be decided.
Both sides
would do well to accept Mitchell’s wise advice, which until now they have
resisted.
Why should
Americans care? We spend billions each
year to support Israel, the Palestinians, and Egypt. Aside from sharing the universal desire for
peace, we have a right to expect honest efforts to end Middle East conflict in
return for our investment.
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