Tax reform is in the air.
Republicans now have the opportunity, through their
legislative control and governors’ chairs, to propose alternatives to a tax
system created in 1986 and patched and amended ever since.
In Washington, the talk about comprehensive tax reform is
just that – talk – but some changes are possible. Most of the focus appears to be on the
corporate tax rate.
In theory, the federal tax on corporations is 35 percent, a
rate higher than in many other industrialized countries. In fact, loopholes and special interest
features lower the effective rate for large corporations to a more competitive
level of 12.6 percent.
One of the key purposes of tax reform is to make rates
fairer without raising revenues. That
should mean that if the federal rate is cut, some loopholes ought to be closed.
But, if the objective is to reduce government revenues or
boost to corporations, the Republican proposal may be limited to cutting the
rate. That could give rise to a battle
between President Obama, who would accept corporate tax changes, and the
GOP-dominated Congress.
One other area in the corporate tax system is ripe for
change. Right now, corporations find it
attractive to move their headquarters abroad, often more in theory than in
terms of actual operations, but allowing them to avoid U.S. taxes. That could be fixed by law with some
bipartisan effort.
The federal “tax extender” law will once again have to be
reviewed. Usually left to the last
minute and then not changed, this law contains a raft of tax breaks for various
industries. At this stage, it is difficult
to know if Congress, taking advantage of a non-election year, will have the
courage to cut some of these loopholes.
Finally, the Republicans can be expected to try to repeal
the inheritance tax, which they call the “death tax.” It is intended to make sure that the wealth
of the wealthy, who may have evaded taxes, can finally be taxed. The GOP is unlikely to succeed.
States often simply duplicate the federal tax system, though
at lower rates. But there is room for
reform at the state level.
Maine provides a good example. Gov. Paul LePage has made proposals that, in
key respects, are more closely in line with past Democratic ideas than with his
own GOP. But he goes too far.
Maine’s top income tax rate of 7.95 percent is among the
highest in the country. LePage wants it
cut to 5.75 percent, but would really like to see it go away entirely. The cut makes sense; elimination does not.
The income tax requires those with higher incomes to pay
higher rates than others down the income scale.
If it were eliminated, the burden would fall almost entirely on sales
and property taxes that hit middle-income people more heavily than the wealthy.
A national study published this week supports the point that
wealthier people pay a smaller portion of their income in state and local taxes
than the rest of the people.
LePage sees the income tax as outmoded. But government, even if slashed, costs
money. Roads and bridges urgently need
repair. Eliminating the income tax would
make it more difficult to meet basic needs.
To pay for his income tax reduction, LePage properly
proposes sales tax increases. Maine
taxes fewer goods and services than most other states, and the governor would
expand the list. He would also raise the
rate to 6.5 percent, keeping it well below rates in other states.
The principal obstacles are the need to limit the impact of
the sales tax increase on lower-income people and resistance by businesses
whose owners believe that the sales tax will keep customers away.
Yet, there is no evidence that sales taxes stifle
sales. Lawmakers need to ask themselves
if they have ever refrained from making a purchase because of the tax.
LePage also wants to eliminate the estate tax, which mainly
affects the wealthy. While the federal
inheritance tax should be retained, a good case can be made for ending its
state counterpart. The high income tax
rate combined with the estate tax drive people from the state who otherwise
could continue to contribute to its economy.
LePage’s proposals are not revenue neutral. He wants to cut state taxes, so the burden
would shift to the property tax and to hospitals, schools and other entities
now tax-exempt. By tying reasonable
changes to controversial cuts, LePage endangers his own tax reform.
If the GOP will compromise and stick to real reform, this
could be the year for change.
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