The Democrats may be their own worst problem.
The party has considerable advantages according to recent
national polls, but, at best, it comes across with a somewhat blurred image and,
at worst, as pursing a version of liberalism that has limited appeal.
Yet surveys show that most Americans agree with what is usually
considered Democratic policy.
Take campaign finance.
Four-fifths of people say they favor new controls over campaign
spending. Opposition to limits comes
from Republicans who say bankrolling political campaigns is a form of free
speech. Democrats have not made this an
issue, and may themselves also go for the big money.
Or immigration.
Almost 60 percent say that today’s illegal or undocumented aliens should
have a path toward citizenship.
Republicans are divided on this, but many of them say the borders must
first be secured, though they know that is not a practical possibility.
Or same-sex marriage.
This is a so-called “wedge” issue, a social issue leading voters to
support the GOP’s candidates without much regard to their positions on other
issues. But a strong majority of voters
nationally support it, though some conservative states strongly oppose.
It seems clear that the GOP hopes to benefit from such wedge
issues including abortion and gun control.
And their adulation of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu suggests
they are trying to make support for Israel also a wedge issue.
Yet surveys show almost equal division of opinion on
abortion and gun control with no information yet on Israel.
On the central issue, whether people have a favorable view
of Republicans or Democrats, the GOP trails badly. And since the Republicans took control of
both houses of Congress this year, opinions about that institution have sunk
even below their already low levels.
Despite all of this evidence that should give comfort and
political strength to the Democrats, they fail to capitalize on their
advantages. In fact, they often give the
impression of running scared.
The Republicans say they are the conservative party and most
voters are conservative. If the
Democrats accept this view, they are tempted to move to the right and actively
avoid being labeled liberals.
It’s possible that a conservative-liberal political split
does not provide a true picture. Pretty
clearly, the conservatives have a coherent set of views and policies, and they
freely label as liberals those that oppose them. But are the 57 percent who say they support
same-sex marriage all liberals?
We have seen the U.S. Supreme Court being reported by the
media as composed of four conservatives, four liberals and one swing
voter. But a close look shows there are
four, sometimes five, conservatives and four non-conservatives. The media designation of them as “liberals” may
please the GOP.
But what about Obamacare?
Isn’t the majority disapproval a sign of conservative rejection of a liberal
policy?
Perhaps, but it is also a good example of the Democrats’
failure to champion their own causes and allowing themselves to be intimidated
into soft-peddling their own policies.
Or the economy?
Unemployment is down, and output is growing. While individuals should be earning more (and
the top one percent is), the Democrats never fail to admit the situation is
good but could be improved. Certainly
honest, but not a way to win elections.
The national media has supported the increasingly incorrect
notion of a conservative-liberal split, which the right is supposedly winning. “Red states” and “blue states” supposedly
have both a political and an ideological meaning.
It’s possible to disagree with the conservative position,
making you a non-conservative but not necessarily a liberal. As the surveys show, you may be in the
mainstream.
In Maine, the split between conservatives and those who have
opposing views is playing out differently.
The Democrats may sometimes be drowned out by Gov. LePage, but not to
the point of running scared. And the
legislative Republicans remain attached to protecting their prerogatives even
from a governor of their own party.
The presidential campaign will sharpen the contrast between
the conservative and non-conservative views.
If they can put one of their candidates in the White House, conservatives
could then claim political domination.
Recently, the Washington Post reported that Hillary Clinton,
the likely Democratic presidential candidate, is adopting positions that just a
short while ago would have been deemed too liberal. She’s not doing that to squelch more liberal
challengers, but because her polling shows most voters are increasingly
supporting policies formerly considered liberal.
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