The Republicans are torn by the struggle among the
establishment, tea partiers and the forces of Trump. But the Democrats also have an identity war.
Don’t forget: the Democrats have a long history of including
widely differing opinions. Also, no
matter what the GOP says, not all Democrats are liberals.
In fact, there’s a good deal of overlap between moderate
Democrats and establishment Republicans.
That similarity is what led to the conservative takeover of the GOP and
liberal complaints about candidate Hillary Clinton. It is also what has produced congressional
action.
A relatively clear liberal-conservative split exists on
so-called social issues: abortion, same-sex marriage and guns. Those issues divide Democrats and
Republicans, as do differences over the Affordable Care Act.
Clinton and Bernie Sanders are usually seen on the liberal
and Democratic side of these issues. But
not all Democrats agree, while a few Republicans may quietly side with them.
The real split among Democrats comes on economic issues and
the role of government. The current
campaign has revealed a strong effort to turn the party away from its drift
toward support for smaller government, more power for the private sector, and
continued low income taxes.
Sanders has adopted a forthright liberal approach. He sees an essential role for government and
the need to raise taxes. He blames most
of the country’s problems on the superrich and major financial institutions.
His support for bigger government, a tax increase and
breaking up the biggest financial institutions would likely lead to his being
labeled a socialist, but he has diffused the charge by saying he is one. Besides, the government role he advocates is
considerably less than the quasi-socialist regimes of Scandinavia.
His candidacy has become an effort to gain increased power,
maybe even control, over the Democratic Party.
The GOP bred the “tea party” movement.
With Sanders, the Democrats may have spawned the “new revolution”
movement, to borrow his term.
Sanders needs a revolution, because, even if he were
president, he would depend on Congress to approve his policies. His allies would have to be elected to
Congress, just as tea partiers have been.
The traditional GOP has gradually adopted the tea party’s
positions. Similarly, Clinton has given
some ground to Sanders in the course of the campaign. It is generally thought he has pushed her to
the left.
Yet Clinton, like Democratic presidents Carter, Clinton and
Obama, clings to her allegiance to what she might consider the moderate center
of American politics. That view has
meant a major role for big business and big finance in recent Democratic
administrations.
The symbol of Clinton’s sympathies for these parts of what
may be a broad Democratic coalition is her refusal to release the texts of
highly paid speeches she made to Wall Streeters. The voter is left to wonder if she buttered
up her audience in hopes of later support by them.
The conventional wisdom is that Sanders is foolish in
believing that America is ready for revolutionary change that would increase
the size of government, raise taxes and weaken major economic powers.
Sanders appears to believe that Republican-driven cuts in
government programs have gone so deeply into what people regard as essential
services, voters would be willing to support higher taxes or even more debt.
Like Donald Trump on the other side of the street, Sanders
believes that conditions have grown bad enough that voters, both traditional
and new, are ready to take drastic action.
Obviously, he thinks he offers a fair and workable alternative for the
Democrats.
After all, by following their more moderate approach, the
Democrats have not fared well. President
Obama gets little credit for the economic recovery, but voters rate him
unfavorably because of his health care program and his position on guns. The Democrats have lost control of both
houses of Congress and could lose the presidency.
Even if his new revolution cannot prevail this year, Sanders
might reason that a strong showing would exert force on the Democrats just as
the tea party did on the Republicans. It
is reasonable to see his campaign, not as a quixotic attempt to win, but the
launching of an attempt at historical political change.
The country abandoned its conservative political tradition
in electing Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1932, believing that his
proposals, involving a greatly increased federal government, were needed to end
the Depression.
The battle for the Democratic Party now turns on whether
there is sufficient concern, especially among younger voters, that political
and economic conditions are so bad that a new political revolution is
warranted.
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